Will Noah rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Noah is unlikely to rank #1 among boy names in 2025, per current market data.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Noah ranking #1, with a 95.2% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, indicating a low likelihood of Noah achieving the top position among boy names.

• 1 Market probability strongly favors 'NO' at 95.2%.
• 2 Pulse AI shows a slightly higher probability for 'YES' at 6.3%.
• 3 The edge of 1.5 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry for the market is currently unknown, adding to unpredictability.

This market will resolve according to the male name ranked #1 in the U.S. Social Security Administration’s (SSA) official list of popular baby names for 2025, published on the SSA website: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/.

The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Male name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025.

This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”