Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?

Norway is unlikely to win Eurovision 2026 according to current market odds.

The market shows a strong consensus against Norway winning Eurovision 2026, with a probability of only 0.40% for a YES outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment, indicating a mere 1% chance for Norway's victory, suggesting that the market is fairly priced with a slight edge of 0.6.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome for Norway.
• 2 The probability of YES is extremely low at 0.40%.
• 3 Market pricing suggests confidence in the NO outcome.
• 4 Time until the event is substantial, allowing for potential shifts.
• 5 Liquidity appears stable with minimal fluctuations in betting activity.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.