Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Olivia is highly favored to be the top girl name in 2025 with an 87.55% market probability.

The prediction market indicates a strong belief that Olivia will rank #1 among girl names for 2025, with an 87.55% probability. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability of 86.05%, suggesting a consensus on Olivia's popularity. The edge of -1.5 indicates that the market is fairly priced based on current sentiment and data.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors Olivia as the top name.
• 2 Historical trends show Olivia has been rising in popularity.
• 3 Market probabilities suggest confidence in Olivia's position.
• 4 Liquidity appears stable, reflecting consistent interest in this market.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to future shifts.

This market will resolve according to the female name ranked #1 in the U.S. Social Security Administration’s (SSA) official list of popular baby names for 2025, published on the SSA website: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/.

The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Female name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025.

This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”