Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?

The market indicates a low probability of OpenAI being acquired before 2027.

Current market probabilities show an 8.95% chance of OpenAI being acquired before 2027, with a stronger consensus against it. The Pulse AI probability is slightly higher at 11.95%, suggesting some market participants see potential for acquisition, but overall confidence remains moderate at 65/100.

• 1 Market sentiment strongly favors a NO outcome.
• 2 The probability of acquisition is low compared to historical trends.
• 3 Current confidence level indicates moderate uncertainty.
• 4 Market appears fairly priced with a small edge.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential developments.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Mergers where the listed company is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.

An announced agreement between the listed company and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed company and/or its leadership; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.