Will "Ordinary - Alex Warren" be the Billboard #1 song for the week of April 4?

The market strongly favors 'NO' for Alex Warren's song being #1 on Billboard.

Current market probabilities indicate a 99.15% likelihood that 'Ordinary - Alex Warren' will not be the Billboard #1 song for the week of April 4. The Pulse AI suggests a significantly lower probability of 4.35% for a 'YES' outcome, reflecting a general consensus against this prediction. With a confidence score of 55/100 and a time to expiry of 102 hours, the market appears fairly priced.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors 'NO' at 99.15%.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates a much lower 'YES' probability of 4.35%.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 55/100, suggesting some uncertainty.
• 4 Time to expiry is 102 hours, allowing for potential market shifts.
• 5 Edge of 3.5 indicates the market is fairly priced based on current data.

Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.

This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of April 4, 2026”.

This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.