Will "Ordinary" by Alex Warren be the Billboard #1 song for the week of March 21?

Market strongly favors 'Ordinary' not reaching Billboard #1 for March 21.

'Ordinary' by Alex Warren has a very low market probability of 1.05% for reaching Billboard #1, indicating strong skepticism among participants. The Pulse AI probability also reflects a low chance of 6.05%, suggesting that the consensus is that it is unlikely to achieve this position. With a confidence level of 55/100, the market appears to be fairly priced with limited time remaining until the expiry.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors 'NO' for Billboard #1.
• 2 The low probabilities suggest minimal confidence in the song's chart performance.
• 3 Historical trends indicate that songs with similar profiles often do not reach #1.
• 4 Liquidity in this market appears stable, reflecting consistent participant engagement.
• 5 Time pressure is significant with only 144 hours until the market expiry.

Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.

This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of March 21, 2026”.

This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.