Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?

The market strongly favors that Patrick Cantlay will not win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational.

Current market data indicates a 100% probability that Patrick Cantlay will not win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational, with a very low AI probability of 1% for a win. This suggests a strong consensus among participants that Cantlay is unlikely to secure victory in this event. The market appears fairly priced, indicating stable sentiment around this prediction.

• 1 Market consensus is heavily against Cantlay winning.
• 2 AI probability suggests a minimal chance of victory.
• 3 Confidence level is high at 85/100, indicating strong market belief.
• 4 No significant liquidity issues observed in the market.
• 5 Time to expiry remains unknown, adding uncertainty to future shifts.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament.

If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".

If an unlisted player wins the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If no winner is announced by March 14, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).