Will Patrick Rodgers win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?

Low probability for Patrick Rodgers to win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Patrick Rodgers winning the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational, with a 99.55% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also reflects a low likelihood, indicating a general lack of confidence in his chances, though the market appears fairly priced based on the edge analysis.

• 1 Market consensus strongly favors 'NO' for Rodgers winning.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests slightly higher odds but still low for 'YES'.
• 3 Current sentiment indicates minimal confidence in Rodgers' chances.
• 4 Market appears fairly priced with a low edge of 1.5.
• 5 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, indicating some uncertainty.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament.

If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".

If an unlisted player wins the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If no winner is announced by March 14, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).