Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85%?

Market indicates low likelihood of Polymarket mindshare reaching 85%.

The current market probability shows a strong consensus against Polymarket mindshare hitting 85%, with a NO probability of 83.45%. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, suggesting that the market is fairly priced with a slight edge of 1.5.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors the NO outcome.
• 2 The probabilities suggest a well-balanced market with minimal mispricing.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 4 Time to expiry is relatively short at 524 hours, adding urgency.
• 5 Market dynamics could shift with changes in user behavior or industry news.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Polymarket has at least the specified daily mindshare, as shown on the Kaito Information Markets Arena page (https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets) at any point between November 20, 2025, and March 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only finalized daily results from the Polymarket mindshare percentage shown on the Kaito Info Markets page at https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets, specifically the daily values for Polymarket under 'Historical Data', will be used to resolve this market. Values will be considered final once the value for the subsequent day has been released.

The resolution source for this market is the Kaito Info Markets page found at https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the Kaito Info Markets page comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on the latest available data.

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Kaito Info Markets page (https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infom