Will Powell say "Collect" or "Collected" during March press conference?

Market favors 'NO' for Powell saying 'Collect' or 'Collected' at the March press conference.

The prediction market shows a higher probability for 'NO' at 59.5%, indicating skepticism about Powell using either term during the upcoming press conference. With a slight edge of -3, the market appears fairly priced against the Pulse AI's probabilities, which also lean towards 'NO'. The confidence level of 60 suggests moderate certainty in this assessment.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans towards 'NO' with a 59.5% probability.
• 2 Pulse AI predicts a lower likelihood for 'YES' at 37.5%.
• 3 The market edge of -3 indicates a balanced pricing of probabilities.
• 4 Confidence level of 60 suggests moderate certainty in the predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, with only 24 hours remaining before the event.

Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on March 18, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If no such statement happens by March 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.