Will Powell say "Delayed" or "Delay" during March press conference?

Market strongly favors Powell not using 'Delayed' or 'Delay' in March.

The prediction market indicates a 100% probability that Powell will not use the terms 'Delayed' or 'Delay' during the March press conference. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability of 99%, suggesting a strong consensus among participants. The market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 85 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly against the use of 'Delayed' or 'Delay'.
• 2 The market probability shows no indication of uncertainty, reflecting strong consensus.
• 3 Historical context suggests Powell's language tends to avoid ambiguous terms.
• 4 Liquidity appears stable, with no significant fluctuations in market activity.
• 5 Time pressure is unclear, but the upcoming press conference is a key event.

Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on March 18, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If no such statement happens by March 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.