Will Powell say "Dollar" 2+ times during March press conference?

Market leans towards Powell not saying 'Dollar' 2+ times in the upcoming press conference.

The prediction market indicates a higher probability for Powell not mentioning 'Dollar' multiple times, with a 58% likelihood against 42% for the affirmative. The Pulse AI aligns closely, suggesting a slightly lower probability for the word being repeated. The current market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 55 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment favors a NO outcome.
• 2 Probability estimates are closely aligned between market and AI.
• 3 The edge indicates the market is fairly priced at this time.
• 4 Confidence level suggests moderate uncertainty in predictions.
• 5 Time pressure is limited with only 38 hours until the event.

Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on March 18, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If no such statement happens by March 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.