Will Powell say "Housing" during March press conference?

High probability that Powell will mention 'Housing' in the upcoming press conference.

The market shows a strong consensus with a 93% probability that Powell will say 'Housing' during the March press conference. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI's estimate of 85.5%, suggesting robust sentiment around this prediction. However, the NO side appears undervalued by 7.5 points, indicating potential for shifts in sentiment as the event approaches.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a YES outcome.
• 2 The high probability reflects strong expectations around housing discussions.
• 3 Historical context suggests housing is a frequent topic in Fed communications.
• 4 Liquidity in the market appears stable with clear sentiment.
• 5 Time pressure is limited with only 29 hours until the event.

Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on March 18, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If no such statement happens by March 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.