Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during March press conference?

High probability Powell will say 'Inflation' 40+ times in March press conference.

The market shows an 81% probability that Powell will mention 'Inflation' over 40 times during the March press conference. This aligns with the Pulse AI's prediction of 73.5%, indicating a strong expectation for inflation discussions. However, the NO side appears undervalued by 7.5 points, suggesting potential for a shift in sentiment.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a high mention of 'Inflation'.
• 2 The Pulse AI prediction is slightly lower than the market probability.
• 3 The NO side shows potential undervaluation, indicating possible market correction.
• 4 Time pressure is significant with only 40 hours until expiry.
• 5 Recent inflation trends and Fed communications could influence outcomes.

Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on March 18, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If no such statement happens by March 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.