Will Powell say "Nothing" 3+ times during March press conference?

Market shows equal odds on Powell saying 'Nothing' 3+ times in March.

The prediction market indicates a 50% probability for Powell to say 'Nothing' three or more times during the March press conference, reflecting a divided sentiment. The Pulse AI probability slightly favors 'NO' at 53%, suggesting a marginally lower expectation for this outcome. With a confidence level of 55/100 and only 29 hours until expiry, the market is currently viewed as fairly priced.

• 1 Market probability is evenly split at 50% for both outcomes.
• 2 Pulse AI probability leans slightly towards 'NO' at 53%.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 55/100, indicating uncertainty.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, with only 29 hours remaining.
• 5 Edge of -3 suggests the market is fairly priced without significant bias.

Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on March 18, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If no such statement happens by March 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.