Will Powell say "Pandemic" during March press conference?

Market shows a slight favor for Powell saying 'Pandemic' in his upcoming press conference.

The market probability indicates a 61.5% chance that Powell will use the term 'Pandemic' during the March press conference, while the Pulse AI suggests a narrower margin at 54%. With a confidence level of 60/100 and a time to expiry of 38 hours, the market appears to be closely contested, and the NO side is seen as undervalued by 7.5 points.

• 1 Current market sentiment favors a YES outcome at 61.5%.
• 2 Pulse AI's prediction is more conservative at 54%, indicating uncertainty.
• 3 The NO side is undervalued by 7.5 points, suggesting potential for adjustment.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, reflecting mixed opinions.
• 5 Time pressure is significant with only 38 hours until the event.

Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on March 18, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If no such statement happens by March 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.