Will Powell say "Supreme Court" during March press conference?

Market favors Powell not mentioning 'Supreme Court' in his upcoming press conference.

The prediction market indicates a 35% probability that Powell will say 'Supreme Court' during the March press conference, with a stronger consensus against it at 65%. The Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher likelihood for 'YES' at 40%, but overall confidence remains moderate at 55 out of 100, indicating uncertainty.

• 1 Current market probability shows a clear preference for 'NO'.
• 2 Pulse AI probability is slightly more optimistic for 'YES' at 40%.
• 3 Market confidence is moderate, reflecting some uncertainty.
• 4 The edge of 5 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, increasing urgency in market movements.

Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on March 18, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If no such statement happens by March 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.