Will Powell say "Volatile" during March press conference?

High probability that Powell will say 'Volatile' in the upcoming press conference.

The market shows a strong inclination towards Powell saying 'Volatile' with a 94.4% probability. However, the AI model suggests a slightly lower probability of 86.9%, indicating a potential undervaluation of the NO side by 7.5 points. With 29 hours until expiry, market sentiment remains confident yet not entirely certain.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors a YES outcome.
• 2 The NO side appears undervalued based on AI predictions.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 60 out of 100.
• 4 Time pressure is increasing with only 29 hours left until expiry.
• 5 Historical context may influence Powell's language choices.

Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on March 18, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If no such statement happens by March 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.