Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by March 31?

The market indicates a low probability of Pump.fun performing an airdrop by March 31.

With a market probability of 3.85% for a YES outcome and 96.15% for NO, the consensus leans heavily against an airdrop. The Pulse AI probability slightly favors a YES at 5.35%, suggesting some uncertainty, but overall confidence remains moderate at 65/100.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors a NO outcome.
• 2 The slight difference in AI probability indicates some speculative interest.
• 3 Historical trends show a low frequency of airdrops from similar projects.
• 4 Liquidity in this market appears stable, with no significant fluctuations.
• 5 Time pressure is moderate with 510 hours remaining until expiry.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pump.fun launches a token and performs an airdrop by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from Pump.fun, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.