Will Ricky Castillo win the 2026 Valspar Championship?

Ricky Castillo has a low chance of winning the 2026 Valspar Championship.

The prediction market indicates a 3.20% probability of Ricky Castillo winning the 2026 Valspar Championship, while the Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability of 4.7%. With a confidence level of 60/100 and a time to expiry of 33 hours, the market appears to be fairly priced with an edge of 1.5.

• 1 Market probability favors a NO outcome at 96.8%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher YES probability of 4.7%.
• 3 The edge of 1.5 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 60/100 reflects moderate certainty in the prediction.
• 5 Time to expiry is 33 hours, allowing for potential last-minute changes.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Valspar Championship tournament.

If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valspar Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".

If an unlisted player wins the Valspar Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If no winner is announced by March 28, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).