Will Rihanna have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Rihanna is unlikely to have the most monthly Spotify listeners this month.

The market indicates a strong consensus against Rihanna having the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners, with a probability of only 0.10% for a YES outcome. The Pulse AI also supports this view, assigning a 3.6% probability to the YES outcome, suggesting that the market is fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors NO at 99.9%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance for YES at 3.6%.
• 3 Current sentiment indicates low confidence in Rihanna's listener numbers.
• 4 Time to expiry is 385 hours, allowing for potential shifts in listener dynamics.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 3.5.

This market will resolve according to the listed artist with the greatest number of monthly listeners according to Spotify on March 31, 2026, 12PM ET.

The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the featured artist's total.

In the event of an exact tie for the number of monthly listeners, this market will resolve in favor of the listed artist whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

If Spotify is down at the listed time on the listed date, this market will resolve based on the most recent available data.

The resolution source for this market will be Spotify.