Will "Risk It All" by Bruno Mars be the Billboard #1 song for the week of March 21?

The market strongly favors 'Risk It All' not reaching #1 on Billboard for March 21.

'Risk It All' by Bruno Mars has a very low probability of reaching #1 on the Billboard chart, with market sentiment heavily leaning towards a NO outcome. The market appears fairly priced, reflecting a consensus that the song is unlikely to achieve this position within the given timeframe.

• 1 Current market probability for YES is at 0.90%, indicating low confidence.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance for YES at 3.9%, but still favors NO.
• 3 The edge score of 3 indicates the market is fairly priced based on available data.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 55/100, suggesting some uncertainty in predictions.
• 5 With 144 hours until expiry, time pressure may influence market dynamics.

Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.

This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of March 21, 2026”.

This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.