Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?

The market shows a low probability for Rory McIlroy winning the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship.

With a market probability of 4.95% for a win, the consensus leans heavily towards a NO outcome at 95.05%. The market appears fairly priced with no edge, indicating a balanced view among participants regarding McIlroy's chances.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly against a McIlroy win.
• 2 Historical performance may influence future outcomes.
• 3 The confidence level of 75/100 suggests moderate certainty in current probabilities.
• 4 The time to expiry is relatively short at 76 hours, adding urgency to market dynamics.
• 5 No significant edge indicates that the market is efficiently priced.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship tournament.

If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the THE PLAYERS Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".

If an unlisted player wins the THE PLAYERS Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If no winner is announced by March 21, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).