Will Ryan Gerard win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?

Ryan Gerard is highly unlikely to win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Ryan Gerard winning, with a 100% probability of NO. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment, with a 99% probability of NO, indicating a high level of confidence in this outcome.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly against Ryan Gerard winning.
• 2 The market probability aligns closely with the Pulse AI's assessment.
• 3 There is minimal liquidity, indicating limited trading activity.
• 4 The confidence level of 85 suggests strong agreement among participants.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to future market movements.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament.

If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".

If an unlisted player wins the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If no winner is announced by March 14, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).