Will Sahith Theegala win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?

The market strongly favors Sahith Theegala not winning the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational.

Current market probabilities indicate a 0% chance of Sahith Theegala winning the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational, with a strong consensus against it. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment, assigning a 1% probability to a win. The market appears fairly priced, suggesting limited volatility in expectations.

• 1 Market probability shows strong confidence against a win for Theegala.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment, indicating low expectations.
• 3 The edge of 1 suggests the market is accurately priced.
• 4 High confidence level of 85/100 reflects strong consensus among participants.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to future market movements.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament.

If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".

If an unlisted player wins the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If no winner is announced by March 14, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).