Will San Marino be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?

San Marino has a low chance of winning the Jury in Eurovision 2026.

The prediction market indicates a 0.25% probability for San Marino to be the Jury Winner, while the Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher 1.75%. With a confidence level of 60/100 and a time to expiry of 1236 hours, the market appears fairly priced with a small edge.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 San Marino's historical performance in Eurovision has been modest.
• 3 The market's edge indicates a balanced pricing with minimal speculation.
• 4 Time remaining allows for potential changes in public opinion or song selection.
• 5 Liquidity in the market is low, reflecting limited interest in San Marino's chances.

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.

This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.

All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.