Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

Serbia has a 68.5% chance to advance in the Eurovision Semi-Final.

The market indicates a strong likelihood of Serbia advancing with a probability of 68.5%, closely aligning with the Pulse AI's estimate of 67%. The edge of -1.5 suggests that the market is fairly priced, reflecting moderate confidence at 55 out of 100. With over 1000 hours until the event, there is ample time for sentiment to shift.

• 1 Current market sentiment favors Serbia's advancement.
• 2 The probability reflects a strong public and expert backing.
• 3 Historical performance trends may influence outcomes.
• 4 Liquidity appears stable, supporting current odds.
• 5 Time until the event allows for potential shifts in sentiment.

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.