Will Sergey Brin be richest person on December 31?

The market strongly favors Sergey Brin not being the richest person by year-end.

Current market probabilities indicate a 99.6% likelihood that Sergey Brin will not be the richest person on December 31. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this view, suggesting a very low probability of 1% for him being the richest. With a confidence level of 75/100 and a slight edge of 0.6, the market appears to be fairly priced.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors NO at 99.6%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a very low chance of YES at 1%.
• 3 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in the NO outcome.
• 4 Edge of 0.6 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial at 6964 hours, allowing for potential developments.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.