Will "Sinners" win 10 or more awards at the Oscars?

The market strongly favors 'Sinners' not winning 10 or more Oscars.

'Sinners' is currently projected to win fewer than 10 Oscars, with a market probability of 0% for a YES outcome. The consensus among analysts and the AI model supports this view, indicating a strong belief that the film will not achieve this milestone.

• 1 Market shows overwhelming confidence in a NO outcome.
• 2 Current sentiment suggests low expectations for 'Sinners'.
• 3 Historical trends indicate few films achieve 10 or more Oscars.
• 4 Liquidity appears stable, reflecting consistent market views.
• 5 Time to expiry remains uncertain, adding to market stability.

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2026, the 98th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 15, 2026. "Sinners" has been nominated for 16 Oscars.

This market will resolve according to the number of Oscars won by the film "Sinners" or by people for their roles in that film at the 98th Academy Awards.

If for any reason no winners are declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.