Will "Sinners" win exactly 8 awards at the Oscars?

The market strongly favors that 'Sinners' will not win exactly 8 Oscars.

With a market probability of 99.95% for 'NO', there is a strong consensus against 'Sinners' winning 8 awards. The Pulse AI also supports this view with a 99% probability for 'NO', indicating a high level of confidence in the outcome.

• 1 Market heavily favors a 'NO' outcome, indicating low confidence in 8 awards win.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment, reinforcing the 'NO' probability.
• 3 Current edge suggests the market is fairly priced with minimal room for movement.
• 4 Confidence level of 85/100 indicates strong belief in the prevailing outcome.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to potential market shifts.

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2026, the 98th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 15, 2026. "Sinners" has been nominated for 16 Oscars.

This market will resolve according to the number of Oscars won by the film "Sinners" or by people for their roles in that film at the 98th Academy Awards.

If for any reason no winners are declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.