Will Sirāt win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?

Sirāt is unlikely to win Best International Feature Film at the Oscars.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Sirāt winning, with a 99.15% probability for NO. The Pulse AI also reflects a low likelihood of victory, suggesting that current sentiment heavily favors other contenders in this category.

• 1 Market probability indicates a strong belief that Sirāt will not win.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment.
• 3 Confidence level suggests moderate certainty in the current predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is relatively short, adding urgency to market dynamics.
• 5 Edge analysis shows the market is fairly priced based on current data.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.