Will "Stateside" by PinkPantheress with Zara Larsson be the Billboard #1 song for the week of March 21?

The market strongly favors 'NO' for PinkPantheress and Zara Larsson's song reaching #1.

'Stateside' by PinkPantheress and Zara Larsson has a very low market probability of reaching #1 on the Billboard chart, with a consensus of 99.1% for 'NO.' The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment, predicting only a 3.9% chance of the song achieving the top position, suggesting that current market conditions do not favor its success.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a 'NO' outcome.
• 2 The probability gap indicates a strong consensus against the song reaching #1.
• 3 Market appears fairly priced with an edge score of 3.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 55/100, suggesting some uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is 144 hours, allowing for potential shifts in song popularity.

Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.

This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of March 21, 2026”.

This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.