Will Steve Ballmer be richest person on December 31?

Market indicates low probability of Steve Ballmer being the richest person by year-end.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Steve Ballmer being the richest person on December 31, with a 99.25% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, suggesting a minimal chance of 1% for 'YES'. The market appears fairly priced with a slight edge of 0.25.

• 1 Current market probability heavily favors 'NO'.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely mirrors market sentiment.
• 3 Market confidence is relatively high at 75/100.
• 4 Time to expiry is substantial at over 7000 hours.
• 5 Edge indicates the market is fairly priced with minimal discrepancies.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.