Will Steve Ballmer be richest person on March 31?

The market strongly favors that Steve Ballmer will not be the richest person on March 31.

Current market probabilities indicate a 99.95% chance that Steve Ballmer will not be the richest person by March 31, with a low probability of 0.05% for him being the richest. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, albeit with a slightly higher probability of 1.55% for YES. This suggests a consensus that Ballmer is unlikely to surpass other contenders in wealth within the given timeframe.

• 1 Market shows a strong consensus against Ballmer being the richest.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates a slightly higher probability for YES than the market.
• 3 The edge of 1.5 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 60/100 indicates moderate certainty in predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, with only 87 hours remaining.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on March 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.