Will Sweet Dreams of Joy - Viva Verdi win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?

The market strongly favors 'NO' for Sweet Dreams of Joy - Viva Verdi winning Best Original Song.

With a market probability of 99.65% for 'NO', there is a strong consensus against 'Sweet Dreams of Joy - Viva Verdi' winning the award. The Pulse AI probability also reflects this sentiment, albeit with slightly higher uncertainty. Given the time to expiry and current confidence levels, the market appears to be fairly priced.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors 'NO' at 99.65%.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates a slightly higher chance for 'YES' at 2.35%.
• 3 The market appears to be fairly priced with an edge of 2.
• 4 Confidence level is relatively high at 75 out of 100.
• 5 Time to expiry is 132 hours, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Original Song.

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Song when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.