Will Taylor Moore win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?

Market favors NO for Taylor Moore winning the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational.

The prediction market indicates a strong likelihood that Taylor Moore will not win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational, with a 99.55% probability for NO. The AI analysis also supports this view, albeit with a slightly higher probability for YES at 1.95%. The edge of 1.5 suggests that the market is fairly priced based on current sentiment and data.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors NO for Moore's victory.
• 2 The probability gap indicates a consensus against Moore winning.
• 3 Historical performance trends may influence future outcomes.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, reflecting confidence in current odds.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to future probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament.

If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".

If an unlisted player wins the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If no winner is announced by March 14, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).