Will Taylor Pendrith win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?

Market strongly favors that Taylor Pendrith will not win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational.

The prediction market indicates a 100% probability that Taylor Pendrith will not win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational, with a very low AI probability of 1% for a win. This suggests a strong consensus among participants that his chances are minimal, reflecting confidence in the current market pricing.

• 1 Current market sentiment overwhelmingly favors a NO outcome.
• 2 Market pricing suggests a consensus on Pendrith's low chances.
• 3 AI probability aligns closely with market expectations.
• 4 High confidence level indicates stability in current predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to future shifts.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament.

If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".

If an unlisted player wins the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If no winner is announced by March 14, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).