Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the March meeting?

High probability of a rate increase by Colombia's Central Bank at the March meeting.

The market indicates a strong consensus, with a 98.5% probability of an interest rate increase at the upcoming March meeting. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI prediction of 97%, suggesting that the market is fairly priced with a slight edge of -1.5. Confidence in this prediction is moderate at 60 out of 100, reflecting some uncertainty despite the high probabilities.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors a rate increase.
• 2 The probability of a rate hike is significantly higher than historical averages.
• 3 Liquidity in the market appears stable, supporting current pricing.
• 4 Time pressure is a factor, with only 54 hours until the meeting.
• 5 Moderate confidence level suggests potential for market volatility.

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's March 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its March 31, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.

This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.