Will "The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?

The market suggests low chances for 'The Fate of Ophelia' to be #1 on Spotify this week.

Current market probabilities indicate a strong belief that 'The Fate of Ophelia' will not reach #1 on Spotify, with a 98.8% NO probability. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, albeit with slightly higher confidence in the YES outcome. Given the edge of 3, the market appears to be fairly priced at this time.

• 1 Market probability for YES is at a low 1.20%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance of 4.2% for YES.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 55/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 4 The edge of 3 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, with only 48 hours remaining.

Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday.

This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song globally on Spotify for the week labeled March 13.

If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled March 13 by March 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading.