Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 16?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 10°C in Ankara on March 16.

The prediction market shows a high probability of 99.65% for temperatures not reaching 10°C in Ankara on March 16. With a market probability of 0.35% for temperatures hitting 10°C, the consensus indicates that a warmer outcome is unlikely. The Pulse AI also aligns with this sentiment, suggesting a very low chance of the temperature reaching the specified threshold.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors temperatures above 10°C.
• 2 The market is highly liquid with a clear consensus on the expected outcome.
• 3 Historical weather data for March in Ankara supports warmer temperatures.
• 4 Time pressure is minimal with only 3 hours until expiry.
• 5 The edge of 0.65 suggests the market is fairly priced based on available information.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.