Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C or below on March 18?

The market strongly predicts temperatures in Ankara will exceed 10°C on March 18.

Current market probabilities indicate a 100% expectation that the highest temperature in Ankara will be above 10°C on March 18. The AI model aligns closely with this sentiment, suggesting a very low chance of temperatures being 10°C or below. With a confidence level of 65/100, the market appears to be fairly priced.

• 1 Market shows strong confidence in temperatures exceeding 10°C.
• 2 AI model suggests minimal chance of temperatures being at or below 10°C.
• 3 Current market pricing indicates a balanced sentiment among participants.
• 4 Confidence level of 65 suggests moderate certainty in predictions.
• 5 No imminent time pressure as the expiry date is unknown.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.