Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 10?

The market strongly favors that Ankara's temperature will reach 11°C on March 10.

With a market probability of 99.95% for YES, there is overwhelming confidence that the highest temperature in Ankara will be 11°C on March 10. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely at 99%, indicating a consensus in predictions. The edge of -0.95 suggests that the market is fairly priced based on current data.

• 1 Current market sentiment is highly confident in a YES outcome.
• 2 Historical weather patterns support the likelihood of temperatures around this range.
• 3 Liquidity appears stable, reflecting strong participant engagement.
• 4 The time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to potential last-minute changes.
• 5 Market pricing suggests minimal room for profit, indicating a well-balanced expectation.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.