Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 15?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 11°C in Ankara on March 15.

With a market probability of 99.95% for 'NO', it indicates a strong consensus that the highest temperature will exceed 11°C. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely with the market, suggesting a well-priced prediction. Given the high confidence level, the market reflects a robust expectation of warmer weather.

• 1 Market sentiment overwhelmingly favors temperatures above 11°C.
• 2 Current probabilities suggest minimal chance of hitting exactly 11°C.
• 3 High confidence level indicates strong market belief in warmer conditions.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to any potential changes.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with a slight edge of 0.95.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.