Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 24?

High probability indicates a strong expectation for 11°C in Ankara on March 24.

The market shows a very high probability of 99.95% for the highest temperature in Ankara to reach 11°C on March 24, suggesting strong consensus among participants. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this prediction at 99%, indicating confidence in the forecast. However, the edge of -0.95 suggests that the market is fairly priced, reflecting a balanced assessment of the situation.

• 1 Market sentiment is overwhelmingly in favor of reaching 11°C.
• 2 The prediction aligns closely with AI-generated probabilities.
• 3 Current market pricing indicates no significant mispricing.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 65 out of 100.
• 5 Time to expiry remains unknown, adding uncertainty to the prediction.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.