Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 16?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 12°C in Ankara on March 16.

The prediction market shows a high probability of 94.75% for temperatures not reaching 12°C in Ankara on March 16. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability of 93.25%, indicating a consensus on the expected weather conditions. With only 4 hours until expiry, the market appears stable and fairly priced.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 12°C.
• 2 The confidence level of 60/100 suggests moderate certainty in the prediction.
• 3 Time pressure is significant with only 4 hours until the market closes.
• 4 The edge of 1.5 indicates the market is fairly priced relative to AI predictions.
• 5 Liquidity appears stable, supporting the current market probabilities.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.