Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 23?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 12°C in Ankara on March 23.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, there is a strong consensus that the highest temperature will exceed 12°C. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely with this sentiment, indicating minimal expectation for temperatures to reach the threshold. The edge of 0.95 suggests that the market is fairly priced based on current data.

• 1 Market shows overwhelming confidence in temperatures exceeding 12°C.
• 2 Current sentiment is heavily skewed towards NO.
• 3 Historical weather data for March trends towards higher temperatures.
• 4 Liquidity appears stable, reflecting consistent trader interest.
• 5 Time pressure is minimal with only 1 hour until expiry.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.