Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C or higher on March 10?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 12°C in Ankara on March 10.

With a market probability of 86.5% for NO, the consensus indicates a low likelihood of temperatures reaching 12°C. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with slightly higher probabilities for YES. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily leans towards NO.
• 2 Weather forecasts are critical in determining temperature outcomes.
• 3 Historical data suggests March temperatures in Ankara are typically lower.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable with no extreme fluctuations.
• 5 Time pressure is minimal as the event is imminent.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.