Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on March 15?

The market favors a NO outcome for Ankara's temperature on March 15.

Current market probabilities indicate a 69.1% likelihood that the highest temperature in Ankara will not reach 15°C on March 15. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, suggesting a consensus against the YES outcome. With a confidence level of 60/100, the market appears fairly priced.

• 1 Market probability for NO is significantly higher than YES.
• 2 Pulse AI shows a slight inclination towards YES but still favors NO.
• 3 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in the current market pricing.
• 4 Time to expiry is immediate, adding urgency to any potential shifts.
• 5 Current sentiment reflects skepticism about reaching 15°C in Ankara.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.