Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on March 16?

The market strongly favors a NO outcome for Ankara's temperature on March 16.

With a market probability of 92% for NO and only 8% for YES, the consensus is that the highest temperature will not reach 15°C. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, indicating a slight edge in market pricing but overall confidence remains moderate at 60/100.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 The probability gap suggests a strong consensus against reaching 15°C.
• 3 Historical weather data may support the NO prediction.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, reflecting confidence in current odds.
• 5 Time pressure is limited with only 2 hours until expiry.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.