Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on March 18?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 16°C in Ankara on March 18.

Current market probabilities indicate a 99.95% likelihood that the highest temperature in Ankara will not reach 16°C on March 18. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with slightly higher uncertainty. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 65 out of 100.

• 1 Market heavily favors temperatures below 16°C.
• 2 Pulse AI shows a slight chance for temperatures to reach 16°C.
• 3 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in predictions.
• 4 Market pricing suggests no immediate pressure for adjustments.
• 5 Historical weather patterns in March typically do not support high temperatures.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.